Pre-tourney Rankings
Big East
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
1 Villanova 100.0%   1   30 - 4 14 - 4 30 - 4 14 - 4 +21.6      +10.8 1 +10.8 1 69.6 165 +20.3 2 +17.4 2
13 Xavier 100.0%   2   28 - 5 15 - 3 28 - 5 15 - 3 +15.2      +7.6 13 +7.6 13 73.7 64 +18.9 4 +20.7 1
24 Butler 93.0%   9   20 - 13 9 - 9 20 - 13 9 - 9 +12.8      +6.4 24 +6.4 24 69.2 176 +11.5 39 +10.7 7
25 Seton Hall 98.4%   7   21 - 11 10 - 8 21 - 11 10 - 8 +12.4      +6.2 25 +6.2 25 71.9 103 +12.3 28 +12.2 5
26 Creighton 90.6%   8   20 - 11 10 - 8 20 - 11 10 - 8 +12.3      +6.1 26 +6.1 26 75.4 44 +12.1 30 +12.2 4
49 Marquette 64.1%   11   19 - 13 9 - 9 19 - 13 9 - 9 +9.8      +4.9 49 +4.9 49 70.7 131 +11.1 42 +11.1 6
57 Providence 97.5%   7   21 - 13 10 - 8 21 - 13 10 - 8 +9.0      +4.5 57 +4.5 57 67.3 222 +11.7 36 +12.6 3
69 St. John's 0.0%   15 - 17 4 - 14 15 - 17 4 - 14 +7.8      +3.9 69 +3.9 69 71.2 115 +7.8 70 +3.4 10
97 Georgetown 0.0%   15 - 15 5 - 13 15 - 15 5 - 13 +5.1      +2.5 97 +2.5 97 73.3 72 +5.3 93 +5.7 8
101 DePaul 0.0%   11 - 20 4 - 14 11 - 20 4 - 14 +4.9      +2.5 101 +2.5 101 72.5 87 +2.7 125 +3.9 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Villanova 2.0 100.0
Xavier 1.0 100.0
Butler 6.0 100.0
Seton Hall 3.0 100.0
Creighton 3.0 100.0
Marquette 6.0 100.0
Providence 3.0 100.0
St. John's 9.0 100.0
Georgetown 8.0 100.0
DePaul 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Villanova 14 - 4 100.0
Xavier 15 - 3 100.0
Butler 9 - 9 100.0
Seton Hall 10 - 8 100.0
Creighton 10 - 8 100.0
Marquette 9 - 9 100.0
Providence 10 - 8 100.0
St. John's 4 - 14 100.0
Georgetown 5 - 13 100.0
DePaul 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Villanova
Xavier 100.0% 100.0
Butler
Seton Hall
Creighton
Marquette
Providence
St. John's
Georgetown
DePaul


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Villanova 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   83.0 16.9 0.2
Xavier 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   37.8 51.9 10.0 0.2 100.0%
Butler 93.0% 0.0% 93.0% 9   0.0 1.5 12.0 28.2 29.4 19.2 2.8 7.0 93.0%
Seton Hall 98.4% 0.0% 98.4% 7   0.0 0.2 4.1 31.3 46.9 13.4 2.3 0.1 1.6 98.4%
Creighton 90.6% 0.0% 90.6% 8   0.1 2.0 15.4 27.9 26.9 15.6 2.7 9.4 90.6%
Marquette 64.1% 0.0% 64.1% 11   0.2 2.3 8.1 24.6 28.8 0.1 35.9 64.1%
Providence 97.5% 0.0% 97.5% 7   0.1 9.5 39.2 35.1 11.8 1.7 2.5 97.5%
St. John's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Villanova 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.9% 83.5% 64.3% 44.6% 30.0% 19.7%
Xavier 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 91.2% 58.8% 31.5% 13.6% 5.4% 2.0%
Butler 93.0% 2.6% 91.9% 52.3% 16.1% 7.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Seton Hall 98.4% 0.0% 98.4% 56.9% 20.2% 8.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
Creighton 90.6% 2.5% 89.4% 48.6% 14.7% 6.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Marquette 64.1% 27.9% 49.3% 20.1% 5.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Providence 97.5% 0.0% 97.5% 42.1% 8.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
St. John's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 6.4 0.0 0.4 6.2 42.9 50.5
1st Round 100.0% 6.3 0.0 0.6 9.5 52.8 37.1
2nd Round 100.0% 4.1 0.0 0.3 5.1 22.2 37.5 26.9 7.5 0.5
Sweet Sixteen 98.0% 2.1 2.0 22.1 47.7 23.6 4.3 0.3 0.0
Elite Eight 82.8% 1.2 17.3 48.7 29.1 4.7 0.2
Final Four 57.7% 0.7 42.3 48.1 9.4 0.3
Final Game 36.5% 0.4 63.5 34.8 1.7
Champion 22.4% 0.2 77.6 22.4